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英国放弃的“群体免疫”,荷兰打算跟进!两大顶刊:可以“抄一下”中韩作业

文/王芳 2020-03-20 10:37:00 来源:生物探索

近日,英国政府计划采取“群体免疫”措施的消息经媒体报道后,让许多专家学者惊出了一身冷汗。

波克棋牌下载JINGUANHOULAIYINGGUOZHENGFUGAIBIANLECELVE,DANSHIYIXIEGUOJIASIHUZHENGDASUANCHANGSHIYINGGUOFANGQITAZUDEZHEITIAODAOLU。 

一篇模拟研究报告,让英国政府“回心转意”

波克棋牌下载JU《BMJ》ZUIXINBAODAOWENZHANGXIANSHI,YINGGUOZHENGFUFANGYITAIDUDEZHUANBIAN,SHIZAIYINGGUODIGUOLIGONGXUEYUANMRCQUANQIUCHUANRANBINGFENXIZHONGXINFABULEYIXIANGMINGWEI“Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand”DEMONIYANJIUBAOGAOZHIHOUFASHENGDE。

波克棋牌下载doi: http://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m1089

波克棋牌下载ZHEIXIANGBAOGAODUIBILEJIANGQUEZHENHUANZHEDEJUJIAGELIHE70SUIYISHANGRENQUNDESHEHUIJULIJIEHEQILAI,YIJICAIQUGENGYANGEDEGANYUCUOSHI,YINGGUOKENENGHUICHUXIANDEQINGKUANG。JIEGUOFAXIAN,QIANZHEJIANGDAOZHIYIQINGZAICHUNXIACHUXIANSANDAOSIGEYUEDEGAOFENGQI,SUIRANZHEINENGGOUJIANSHAORENMENDUI大连娱网棋牌 DEXUQIUBINGJIANGDISIWANGRENSHU,DANRENGHUIDAOZHI26WANRENSIWANG,SHIICUCHUXIANBAOMANJUMIAN;ERCAIQUYANGEGANYUCUOSHIDEHUA,NENGGOUSHIRENMEN“NIZHUANCHUANBO”(reverse transmission),DANSHIZAIYIQINGDEDAOKONGZHIHOU,RUGUOMEIYOUYIMIAO,NEIMEYIQINGKENENGJIANGJUANTUZHONGLAI。

XIANRAN,YINGGUOXIANZAICAIQUDESHIDIERXIANGJIHUA。YINGGUOSHOUXIANGYUEHANXUNZAIFABUHUISHANGCHENGNUO,YINGGUOZHENGFUJIANGCAIQU“FEICHANGYANGE“DEKANGYICUOSHI,XIANGZHANSHIZHENGFUYIYANGXINGDONG。YIFANGMIANJIAJINZHICHI大连娱网棋牌 XITONG,ZENGJIAYIHURENYUAN,ZENGJIAZHUYUANCHUANGWEI;LINGYIFANGMIANJIJIFUCHIJINGJI,BANGZHUKUNNANQIYEDUGUOWEIJI。

波克棋牌下载YINGGUOSHOUXI大连娱网棋牌 GUANKELISI•HUIDISHUO,SHANGZHOUXUANBULEZHIYOUZHUYUANDERENCAIHUIJIESHOUBINGDUJIANCEDEXIAOXI,YINQILERENMENQIANGLIEDEBUAN,YOUQISHIYIHURENYUANDANXIN,YOUYUWUFAJIANCE,TAMENJIANGBUDEBUYIQINGWEIZHENGZHUANGJINXINGBUBIYAODEGELI,ZHEIJIANGRANG大连娱网棋牌 XITONGXIANRUGENGZAOGAODEJUMIAN。YINCI,GAIGUOJIHUAMEIXINGQIKUODACESHIGUIMO,XIANGGENGGUANGFANDESHEQUTUIGUANG。

波克棋牌下载JINGUANYINGGUOZHENGFUYIJINGGAILEZHUYI,DANSHI,YIXIEGUOJIASIHUDASUANYANZHEYINGGUOYUANBENSHEXIANGDELUJINGZOUXIAQU。

荷兰首相称将有60%人受感染,瑞典专家支持“群体免疫”

波克棋牌下载HELANSHOUXIANGMAKE•LUTEZAI16RIFABIAODIANSHIJIANGHUASHIBIAOSHI,BUJIUDEJIANGLAIHUIYOUHENDAYIBUFENRENKOUGANRANGAIBINGDU,DANZHEIYESHIZENGQIANGMIANYILIDEFANGSHI,ERJUYOUMIANYILIDERENQUNYUEDUO,BINGDUCHUANBODAOYISHOUSHANGHAIDELAONIANRENHEQITAJIANKANGZHUANGKUANGCHADERENDEJIHUIJIUYUEXIAO。JUTIGANRANFANWEIZAI50%~60%ZHIJIAN。JINGUANCAIQUFENGSUOCUOSHIRANGZHONGGUOEZHILEYIQING,DANSHIJIEFENGHOURENMENJIANGJIXUBAOLUZAIBINGDUZHIXIA,ZHEIJIANGDAOZHI大连娱网棋牌 XITONGGUOZAI。

BUJINSHIHELAN,RUIDIANSIHUYEZAIKAOLVCAIQU“QUNTIMIANYI”DECUOSHI。JU《RUIDIANWANBAO》BAODAO,GAIGUOZHENGFUDELIUXINGBINGXUEZHUANJIAAnders TegnellBIAOSHI,“WOTINGDAOLEYINGGUORENDEZUOFA,TAMENHEWOMENZAIRUIDIANZUODEHENXIANGSI”。TONGSHI,Anders TegnellYEQIANGDIAO,ZHEIYIJUCUOSHI“ZAIZHENGQUEDESHIJIANZUOZHENGQUEDESHIQING”,ZHEISHIYIZHONGBICAIYONGFENGSUODENGQIANGYINGCUOSHIJIESHUYIQINGDEGENGXIYINRENDESIWEIFANGSHI。

CIQIAN,RUIDIANGUANFANGCENGYU12RIJUEDINGTINGZHIDUIXINGUANFEIYANQUEZHENBINGLIDETONGJI,BINGQIEBUZAIDUIQINGZHENGHUANZHEHEYISIHUANZHEJINXINGJIANCE,ERSHIJIANGYOUXIANDEZIYUANYONGYUYIHURENYUAN、YIZHUYUANHUANZHEDENGGAOWEIRENQUN。DUICI,YOUXUEZHETICHU,RUIDIANGUONEI大连娱网棋牌 SHESHIYUANMEIYOUDAO“SHANQIONGSHUIJIN”DEDIBU,CIJUDENGYUSHIZAIXIANGBINGDUTOUJIANG。

波克棋牌下载ZHIDEZHUYIDESHI,QUNTIDEMIANYILITONGCHANGSHIYOUYIMIAOHUODEDE,MIANDUIYIZHONGXINFAXIANDEBINGDU,MEIYOURENGANBAOZHENGCAIQUZHEIYANGDECUOSHIHUIDAOZHISHENMEYANGDEHOUGUO。ZHENGRUSHIJIE网上棋牌中心ZUZHIFAYANRENMAGELITE•HALISIZAIJIESHOUMEITICAIFANGSHITIDAODE,XINGUANBINGDUZAIRENLEIZHONGCUNZAIDESHIJIANHAIBUGOUZHANG,MUQIANZAIKEXUESHANGDUIXINGUANBINGDUDERENSHIYEHAIBUGOU,SUOYISHANGBUNENGQUEDINGTAZAIMIANYIXUEFANGMIANDEZUOYONG。“WOMENKEYITAOLUNLILUN,DANMUQIANWOMENMIANLINDESHIYIGEXIANSHIDEQINGKUANG,WOMENBIXUKAOLVCAIQUXINGDONG。”

ZHENGJIEZAIYUZHEIXIEGUOJIARENWEIFENGSUOCUOSHICHANSHENGDEXIAOGUOJIANGBURURENYI,NEIME,RUGUOBUCAIQUFENGSUOCUOSHI,QITAGUOJIAKEYIRUHEXINGDONG?DINGJIQIKAN《Nature》HE《Science》ZUIXINWENZHANGBIAOMING,QITAGUOJIACONGZHONGGUOHEHANGUODE“KANGYI”JINGLIZHONGHUOXUNENGGOUYOUSUODE。

不采取封锁措施,其他国家可以怎么做?

3YUE18RI,《Nature》FABUDEZUIXINBAODAOTANTAOLEZHONGGUODEFANGYIJINGYAN。WENZHONGTIDAO,JINGUANZAIDUANSHIJIANNEIBINGLISHUJIZENG,DANSHIZHONGGUOSUOCAIQUDEFENGSUOCUOSHIQUESHIYOUXIAO。BUGUO,LIUXINGBINGXUEJIABIAOSHI,RUGUOFANYINGSUDUNENGGOUGENGKUAIYIXIE,SHOUYINGXIANGDERENSHUJIANGGENGSHAO。

波克棋牌下载doi:10.1038 / d41586-020-00741-x

YINGGUONANANPUDUNDAXUEXINFAJIBINGYANJIUYUANLai ShengjieHEAndrew TatemDEMONIYANJIUXIANSHI,RUGUOZHONGGUOZAOYIZHOUCAIQUFANGKONGCUOSHI,HUOXUNENGFANGZHI67%DEBINGLIFASHENG;ZAIZAOSANZHOU,YEJIUSHI1YUECHUKAISHI,JIUNENGBAGANRANRENSHUKONGZHIZAIZONGBINGLISHUDE5%。CIQIAN,ZHONGNANSHANYUANSHITUANDUIZAIYIXIANGBAOGAOZHONGYETICHULELEISIDEJIANJIE,RUGUOFANGYICUOSHITIQIAN5TIANZHIXING,GANRANRENSHUJIANGBIXIANZAISHAO2/3YISHANG,ZUIZHONGBUHUICHAOGUO25,000REN。

YANJIURENYUANRENWEI,ZAOFAXIAN、ZAOGELISHIZHONGGUOJIANSHAOCOVID-19BINGLIDEZUIZHONGYAOYINSU,YESHIZHONGGUOWEISHIJIETIGONGDEBAOGUIKANG“YI”JINGYAN。RUGUOMEIYOUZHEIXIECUOSHI,ZHONGGUOZAI2YUEDIDEQUEZHENRENSHUKENENGSHIXIANZAIDE5BEI。Andrew Tatem BIAOSHI,“RUGUOYAOFENZHUCIDEHUA,ZAOJIANCEHEZAOGELIYINGGAISHIZUIZHONGYAODE。”

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波克棋牌下载HANGUODEKANGYIJINGLIYEYINZHENGLEJIANCEYIJIZHUIZONGGELIDEZHONGYAOXING。LIANGZHOUYIQIAN,ZHEIGEYONGYOU5000WANJUMINDEGUOJIAYIDUCHENGWEICHUZHONGGUOYIWAIYIQINGZUIYANZHONGDEDIQUZHIYI。RANER,XIANZAIHANGUODEQINGKUANGMINGXIANHAOZHUAN。《Science》ZUIXINBAODAOZHICHU,ZHEIYUGAIGUOGUANGFAN、YANMIDEJIANCECHENGXUYIJIJINZUIDANULIZHUIZONGHEGELICHUANBOZHEYOUGUAN。

波克棋牌下载doi:10.1126 / science.abb7566

ZAI2015NIANZAOYUGUOMERSZHIHOU,HANGUOJIANLIQILEGENGWANSHANDEYUANNEIGANRANYUFANGHEKONGZHIJIZHI,ZHEIYESHIZHIDAOXIANZAIHANGUOMEIYOUYIHURENYUANGANRANCOVID-19DEZHONGYAOYUANYIN。XINGUANBINGDUZAIZHONGGUOCHUXIANYIHOU,HANGUOJIBINGKONGZHIYUYUFANGZHONGXIN(KCDC)XUNSUKAIFAZHENDUANSHIJI,BINGYUZHENDUANZHIZAOSHANGHEZUOKAIFASHANGYECESHITAOJIAN,ZHEIRANGHANGUOBUZHIYUXIANRUYINZHENDUANSHIJIDUANQUEERWUFAJIANCEYIQINGDEJUMIAN。

JUWorldMeterWANGZHANBAODAO,HANGUOYIJINGDUI27WANDUORENJINXINGLEJIANCE,XIANGDANGYUMEIBAIWANJUMINZHONGJIUYOU5200DUORENJINXINGLEJIANCE。MUQIAN,HANGUODEBINGDUJIANCENENGLIYIJINGDADAO15000CI/TIAN。3YUECHU,GAIGUOHAITUICHULEYIKUANZHINENGSHOUJIAPP,YONGYUZHUIZONGBEIGELIZHEBINGSHOUJIZHENGZHUANGSHUJU。

波克棋牌下载ZAIBINGLIZHUIZONGFANGMIAN,HANGUOKCDC 130RENDEJIANCETUANDUIJIANGZHONGXINFANGZAIXINTIANDIJIAOHUISHANG,ZAIZHEIGEQUNTIZHUIZONGDAODERENLIYOU80%BEIQUEZHENHUANYOUCOVID-19,ERZAIQITAZHUIZONGDAODERENQUNLI,QUEZHENBILIJINWEI10%。GELIGUANCHAQIJIAN,DANGDIDEGELIXIAOZUMEITIANJIANGDALIANGCIDIANHUAQUERENNEIXIEZIBEIYAOQIUXINGGELIDERENQUNDEQINGKUANG,RUGUOGONGMINWEIGUIJIANGMIANLINJIANGGAODA1000WANHANYUANDEFAKUANBINGRUYUYINIAN。ZHENGSHIYOUYUZHEIXIEJIJIDECUOSHI,ZAIBUCAIQUYANGEFENGSUOCUOSHIDEQINGKUANGXIA,RANGHANGUOYIDUSINVEDEYIQINGZHUJIANCHUXIANZHUANJI。

3YUE18RI,ZHONGGUOGONGCHENGYUANYUANSHI、GUOJIAWEIJIANWEIGAOJIBIEZHUANJIAZUZUZHANGZHONGNANSHANZAIHUIDAJIZHETIWENSHIBIAOSHI,MEIGUOCHENG9YUEYIMIAOJIUKEYIYONGZAIRENSHENSHANG,ZHONGGUOYEZAISAIPAO,GUJIQIANHOUBUHUICHADUOSHAO。ZAIZHEIZHIQIAN,GUANGKAO“QUNTIMIANYI”BUKENENGJIEJUEWENTI。

ZHENGRUSHIJIE网上棋牌中心ZUZHIZONGGANSHITANDESAI16RIZAILIXINGJIZHEHUISHANGTIDAODE,YUFANGGANRANHEZHENGJIUSHENGMINGDEZUIYOUXIAOFANGFAJIUSHIDAPOCHUANBOLIAN。YAOZUODAOZHEIYIDIAN,JIUBIXUJIANCEHEGELI。“SHEIDOUBUKENENGMENGZHUSHUANGYANJIUHUO”。

参考资料:

波克棋牌下载[1] Coronavirus cases have dropped sharply in South Korea. What’s the secret to its success?

波克棋牌下载[2] What China’s coronavirus response can teach the rest of the world

[3] Anders Tegnell hyllar brittisk tanke kring flockimmunitet: ”Dit vi behöver komma”

波克棋牌下载[4] Covid-19: UK starts social distancing after new model points to 260 000 potential deaths

[5] LITINGYINGGUO“QUNTIMIANYI”DERENCHUXIANLE,GUORANLAIZIZHEIGEGUOJIA

[6] Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand

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